Helen Brown Group

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Prospect research on a tight budget – schools edition

Yesterday I spoke on the topic of “Prospect Research for Fundraisers” at the excellent virtual annual conference for the Institute of Development Professionals in Education (IDPE) in the UK (which is still going on, so if you’re a fundraiser for an independent, private, K-12 and/or secondary school, jump on that train).

One of the questions I was asked during the Q & A was, how can we identify prospects on very little budget? It’s a perennial (and good) question, so I thought that I would share my response here.

RFMD

The first thing I’d suggest is some very basic data mining. If there’s someone on your team who is good at downloading information from the database and manipulating it in Excel, you’re going to get a lot out of this project: it’s called RFM analysis. Don’t let the name scare you, it’s really just a bunch of sorting. It’s not a speedy project, but it is guaranteed to give you some really good insight.

What you’re looking for is people who have given to your nonprofit most recently; those who give most frequently; and those who give the highest amounts of money.

You should really have about 5 years’ worth of good giving information recorded in your database for this to work well. You will want to download your donors’ names or ID numbers and all of their giving for the past 5 years into a spreadsheet.

Now the fun starts. Add columns to create a points system. At the end you will sort by those with the most points and the most giving.

Each time they gave, put a point in that column. If they gave multiple times in a year, that’s multiple points in the frequency column (so if they made two donations, they’d get a 2, for example).

You can be as creative as you like when you set up your scoring system – how in-depth you go is entirely up to you. Once you get the points in, then sort away by top scores: who gave the most recently? Who gave the most frequently? Who are the top donors? Now who is at the nexus of all three columns?

Chances are you will see a lot of familiar names at the top, but as you go down the list a bit further, what surprises do you see?

Maybe you want to go back further – 10 or 15 years if you have that amount of data. If so, you can get a look at RFMD, where D=Duration. Who has given to you most loyally over the years?

The cost of a project like this is your time, which certainly isn’t cheap, but at least you don’t have to add anything to a budget to do it.

This is just one way to do an RFM analysis; there are certainly more sophisticated ways to do it, and more factors you can add into the mix. Be creative and don’t be afraid to experiment.

SEARCH AND ALERT

Head to your favorite search engine, and do a search similar to this:

(alumnus OR alumni OR alumna OR graduate OR “old girl” OR “old boy” OR …you get the drift) “name of your school here” (donor OR philanthropist OR donation OR million OR billion)

If your graduates go by the term “Old Wycombiensians” (for example) then by all means use that in your search string. Be creative in the words you add in the parentheses at the end of the string; for example, instead of the word donor, you can use a phrase like “sold her company” or “hedge fund” or “yacht” or “ponzi scheme.”

Once you have a string that gives you good results, you can save it as an alert and have the results delivered to you when something new comes through. Voila! You just learned about that alumna who sold her company to a hedge fund and bought a yacht!

REPORT

I love this report I’m about to mention – we used it at every nonprofit I ever worked at, and it always bubbled up great prospects. Maybe you already use it – if so, you know what I’m talking about.

The report is as simple as this: you already know what level of donation makes you sit up and take notice at your school. Maybe it’s £/$250 or $/£500 or £/$1,000, but whatever it is, that’s the amount you use for this report.

Every week on a Monday morning, ask your database (or your very kind database administrator) to automatically run a report of everyone who gave a gift of whatever-that-level-is last week.

Maybe there won’t be any surprises in there, but every once in a while, there will be. The report flags up great opportunities for stewardship, to be sure, and also great pointers for a little more in-depth research.

FREE RESOURCES

Don’t miss the free HBG Research Resources here on our website. There are pages and pages of links, and I know that you’ll find some great tools and ideas there to help you identify new prospects.

 

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December edition – Who’s Doing Well Now?

It’s been eight months since I did a blog post on the topic of “Who’s Doing Well Now” and I thought the end of the year – giving season – might be a good time to revisit that question.

If you read that original blog post and the follow-up white paper, many of the industries from that period remain at the top, but over the summer innovation (and pivotation) pushed a few other companies and industries into the spotlight. I wanted to share my resources to help you dig a little deeper to find prospects that might be flying under the radar a bit.

For example, it’s not a secret that puzzles and games are doing well, so of course we should look into who makes them. Manufacturers like privately-held (and very diversified) Allied Materials and Equipment Co. of Kansas City, MO, whose subsidiary Allied Products is the maker of Springbok puzzles, are doing well this year. According to their website, Allied also makes American flags that fly “over some of our nation’s most important institutions as a result of contracts with the United States Senate, Department of Defense, and GSA recipients.” Those flags are also used for military (and veteran) keepsakes and burials, which unfortunately have seen an uptick this year. Allied’s DOD contracts also extend to military equipment, such as chem/bio life support systems.

Want to find more suppliers with US government contracts? There’s a database for that: https://www.usaspending.gov/. You don’t have to know the name of the company, either. If you’re prospecting, the surprisingly well-built search tool allows for a large array of filters, including recipient (awardee) type, NAICS code, state, zip code, and congressional district.

Specifically interested in companies that have received contracts for COVID-related purposes? You can find that on the USASpending site, but ProPublica has also created a very search-friendly tool at https://projects.propublica.org/coronavirus-contracts/ for finding companies that have recently increased sales due to government contracts.

In the Washington, DC area, it would be natural to think that the fastest growing company would be a government contractor. Holistic Industries, which has grown 447% over the past three years and is considered an essential business will probably not be a DOD contractor anytime soon, though. The cannabis retailer reported growth over 30% for the first quarter this year and beat estimates for Q3 by $3 million. CEO and University of Maryland alumnus Josh Genderson has hopes to double sales next year. Cannabis retailers can’t use traditional banks to park their money, and they frequently donate to local nonprofits to prove their place in building up community. If your nonprofit doesn’t include cannabis retailers in your due diligence ‘no-no’ list, you may want to check out your local retailer’s leadership.

With the disruptions in the supply chains over the past several months, grocery retailers have needed to utilize more cold storage facilities to keep things fresh and relatively close-by. Two companies control nearly 60 percent of all of the cold storage in the US – Lineage Logistics and Americold Realty and both are growing quickly, according to The Wall Street Journal. The CEOs of both companies are graduates of Midwest universities that mention nonprofit interests on their LinkedIn pages.

I found the three specific company examples mentioned above by searching for “companies doing well” and limiting my search dates, but there are other resources (stronger than a search engine) that you can use to prospect for successful industries and companies (and the people who are doing well because of them) right now.

One of my all-time favorites is an expensive resource that used to be found only in hard copy in business libraries: ValueLine. Imagine my delight when I learned earlier this year that not only is ValueLine online and searchable, but my library card to my little local library gives me free access to it. (Maybe yours does, too?) ValueLine gathers information about 6,000 publicly-held companies and 18,000 mutual funds (as well as other invest-ables) and provides insights on which companies and industries are “timely” (how they’re doing as compared to others in their industry) and “safe” (the likelihood that the company will continue to do well over the coming months – or not) at the current moment.

My search in ValueLine this week showed that 26 companies are at the Venn diagram nexus for both growth and safety. The list includes several you’d expect like Clorox, Costco, General Mills, Home Depot, JM Smucker, Procter & Gamble and Walmart, with a few interesting ones like Jack Henry & Associates (payment processors for the financial services industry); Landstar (shipping and logistics); and Synopsys, an electronic design automation company focusing on silicon design, verification, and intellectual property and software security and quality.

Another resource to check for companies doing well right now is the Fortune Global Fastest 100, a listing of the fastest-growing companies in the world. I like to break their list down into industries to get an overview of sectors that are growing quickly in order to spot trends and outliers. This year the top three categories for growth are commercial banks; homebuilders, engineering, construction, and building materials; and internet services and retailing.

One last resource I wanted to mention is LinkedIn. Since it was first published on March 31, senior editor Andrew Seaman’s article, “Here’s Who’s Hiring Right Now” has been regularly updated. Its long list of companies that are doing well enough to be hiring this year is worth a look for prospecting ideas.

What places are you looking when you’re prospecting these days?

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Shining light on new prospective donors

In the last month I have spoken with the chief fundraisers of four nonprofit organizations, all of whom told me that they need to add to their donor pools, and fast.

According to research from mid-June by the Charities Aid Foundation America, only one-third of nonprofit leaders expect that their nonprofit will still be operational a year from now if things remain the same. Another third are fairly certain they will be closed, and the final third just aren’t sure.

If you’re in either of the latter two categories, like the four nonprofit leaders I spoke with, you’re greatly concerned about identifying donors that will help you weather this storm and get your organization beyond it.

There are overarching fundraising strategy issues to identify and resolve that may differ from organization to organization, of course, but from a prospect development standpoint, here is some of  the advice I gave them:

You can’t ask people for money if you can’t contact them

If you don’t have up-to-date information on your donors, now is a good time to spend very little money to get it. If you already send out bulk mailings, ask your mailing vendor to give you a quote for a National Change of Address (NCOA) update. Depending on your situation and budget, update the last 5 or 10 years of your SYBUNTs (those who have given in some year but not this one) to discover where they are.

If you don’t have money for a wealth screening, consider analytics

Fundraising analytics, data insight, fundraising data science…whatever you want to call it, analytics can help you identify great future donors that are already warm prospects. It doesn’t have to be expensive because you don’t have to append outside data – you can use what you’ve already got.

Who looks most inclined to give soon? Who has been quietly putting up their hand that they want to be noticed? Which are the donors that have been increasing their gift every time they give? What regions or programs or sectors should you concentrate on? Analytics can provide a lot of great prospects on a tight budget.

If you have money for wealth screening and it’s been a while, you should really do one

If you did a screening before February, all of the stock and business and real estate information is going to be skewed. I don’t need to tell you that people are in a very different financial position now than they were 9 months ago but for some people at the top of the wealth scale, their wealth has actually increased. If your nonprofit is one of their top-priority philanthropic causes, you don’t want to miss knowing this.

And further to that point: those under the 1% (but still affluent) have been strongly supporting causes over the past 8 months that they care about most. If someone has given to your nonprofit since February (and it’s not a memorial gift), you can bet that your cause is in the top three-to-five on their priority list. A wealth screening can help you pull out the person who gave $250 but could give $25k.

Most wealth screening companies provide information on a person’s past philanthropic giving, and that can be incredibly helpful when you’re trying to prioritize your time and effort to see what a donor’s interests are and what their largest gifts elsewhere have been. However, wealth screenings can be a waste of money (here’s how), so you want to avoid those pitfalls at all costs.

Go outside your base as Plan B, not Plan A

I always recommend exhausting every effort to find great prospects in your own database before combing the hills externally. Unless you personally know every single person that you raise money from and you contact them every month, you have to remember that (especially now) situations change. Companies thrive and companies go under. Through it all though, if someone has given to your nonprofit before, they’re already part of your family of donors. You don’t have to convince them of the importance of your mission – they’ve already bought in.

That said, if you don’t have a fundraising database, if you’re working for a startup nonprofit, or creating a brand-new program that has a different focus from your main mission, that’s obviously a different situation. That’s when elbow-grease prospect identification makes sense.

Elbow-grease research is kind of a slog, but it can be worth it in the right circumstances. Our method starts with an organization’s board, well-connected and committed volunteers, and other community champions. We build out their networks and family ties to find others they’re connected to who look likely to have a philanthropic interest in the cause. That way (we hope) we’re identifying “warm” prospects – people to whom they already have a connection via a friendly introduction.

We also look for institutional partners – companies, family and community foundations, larger endowment-based foundations, and even municipal sources to determine who gains directly or indirectly from our client organization’s presence in the community, region, or world.

We explore who benefits financially, spiritually, reputationally, socially, or materially from that nonprofit’s existence? Does the nonprofit raise the status of a community? Educate workforce toward a particular skillset or industry? Contribute to lower crime in an area? Bring in increased foot traffic to a nearby store? Who benefits from those things?

I know, that’s a slightly different angle from the norm, but I think it helps to turn the page to read the print upside down sometimes, don’t you?

Of course, we also look for institutional prospects in the “normal” way – to see which have included specific interest areas in their giving statements, or have given to a similar mission in the past.

These are just a few of the ways we (and you) can identify new donors.

The most important thing, though, is to have a plan in place for what you’re going to do next. Are fundraisers at your organization excited to make contact with new prospects? Or will those great future donors remain uncontacted? If so, your prospect research time and effort is better spent elsewhere.

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Real Estate in the Age of Coronavirus

COVID-19 has impacted every single industry, usually for better or worse. But with real estate, the impact of the pandemic has been both better *and* worse, depending on the area of real estate you’re looking at. In today’s article, my colleague Josh Ostroski brings his deep knowledge of real estate to help us understand how our prospects who work in real estate (or who own well-placed properties) may be impacted now. ~Helen

There has been a lot of talk about real estate trends during the coronavirus pandemic. We have all heard about the urban exodus, housing prices increasing, and people working from home. I wanted to dig a little deeper to see if what we’re hearing is true or merely anecdotal and the reasons why.

The Urban Exodus

We have all heard that families are leaving cities to find more space in the suburbs. As the country was in lockdown, many people began to re-think what was important to them. With restaurants, bars closed, and shops closed, along with food delivery service expanding to more rural areas, there was less of need to be able to walk to amenities. However, according to a recent report by Zillow’s Economic Research team, they found that in most areas of the country “suburban housing markets have not strengthened at a disproportionately rapid pace compared to urban markets.”

There are some outliers, such as the Northeast, where new pending listings in urban zip codes re-accelerating more slowly than in the suburbs. “Some regions saw stronger evidence for a suburban-urban diverging trend than others. For example, in the New York City metro, home values in urban ZIP codes were decelerating in June relative to pre-COVID trends ( -0.2 pp) while suburban ZIP codes were accelerating (0.2 pp).

The same trend holds in Boston with urban home values down 0.5 percentage points and suburban homes values up 1.3 percentage points. However, this deceleration was already a trend (comparing February YoY to January YoY) in the Northeast Region overall, and the New York City metro.

Conversely, the Chicago metro area experienced the exact opposite trend with growth, decelerating in suburban areas while urban areas accelerated. And areas like Philadelphia and Miami saw accelerated growth in both regions, but more so in urban ZIP Codes.”

San Francisco is seeing a trend to becoming a buyers’ market, as inventory and days on market are up. According to Zillow’s report, “in San Francisco, list prices have fallen 4.9% year over year and inventory has risen 96% with a flood of new listings. Higher levels of inventory, up 96% year-over-year following a flood of new listings during the pandemic, are sitting on the market in the city proper, a significantly larger jump than the surrounding suburbs. In San Francisco, though, the softening is clear as sellers flood the market with their listings and buyers have not changed their pace to match.”

The markets where the largest share of renters in the center city would gain the power to buy if they looked outside city limits are San Francisco, Seattle, Washington, D.C., and Boston.

Check Out These Market Trends

Zillow: 12 mid-sized markets to watch

Realtor.com: Hottest Zip Codes

Insurify: Cities with the greatest pandemic real estate booms

Housing Price Increases

Normally in an economic crisis, housing prices drop. However, in this pandemic, prices in many locations have increased. Part of the reason is the drop in demand was matched with a drop in supply at the same time, protecting prices. Then when people began to look to move, the lack of supply has created a seller’s market, increasing prices.

Historically Low Interest Rates

Interest rates are still at an all-time low, so buying a home is more affordable. There has also been an increase in homeowners refinancing, putting themselves in a better economic situation.

Lender Standards

During the housing crisis of 2008, the use of subprime mortgages and lenient qualifications caused homeowners that were not really qualified to purchase homes out of their price range. When prices plummeted, they owed more than the house was worth (became “upside-down” or “under water” on their mortgages). Since then, the government and mortgage lenders have become much stricter in their lending qualifications. That means more homeowners are qualified now. According to CoreLogic, lenders have tightened credit requirements or increased payment requirements, making riskier loans less common. This helps to protect homeowners in a down market.

Home Wealth Gains

According to the Federal Reserve, housing wealth is a major component of total household wealth in the United States. According to the National Association of Realtors, “as of 2018, a homeowner who purchased a typical existing home five years ago (2013) gained $79,488 in wealth (equity), of which $64,200, or 81 percent was from the home price appreciation ($197,400 in 2013 to $261,600 in 2018).”

Home equity is at an all-time high in the U.S., which has not only helped weather the economic downturn, but has allowed homeowners to use that equity to their advantage by having flexibility to be able to sell their home for something that works better for them, like investing in another property (which can generate rental income), home renovation (which further increases the home value), a child’s college education, emergency or major life events, or expenses in retirement. National Association of Realtors has calculated equity reports on 181 metropolitan areas.

Default rates have also remained low during the pandemic. According to ATTOM Data Solutions, “Equity-Rich Properties Continue to Outnumber Those Seriously Under Water by Four-to-One Margin; Portion of U.S. Homes Considered Equity-Rich Ticks Up to 27.5 Percent; Seriously Under Water Properties Down to 6 Percent.”

Second Homes

Another trend that we are seeing is people are moving into their second home and using it as their primary residences. According to an article in the Colorado Sun, schools in Aspen, Vail, and Crested Butte reported record interest in enrollment as part-time resident relocated to their second homes. At the same time, the market has seen increased home sales in these resort towns as people are wanted to get away from cities.

This is also happening in New York City, which was one of the hardest hit cities by COVID-19, where people are moving into their upstate NY, Hamptons, and CT homes.

Real estate agents are also seeing an increase in people that live in cities, but are renters, buying second homes outside of the city.

As researchers, we should keep an eye on surrounding communities outside of cities that were historically vacation areas to see if there is an increase in sale prices. This could also trigger people to sell a home in a vacation area to take advantage of the increased demand.

Commercial Real Estate

One industry that is struggling is commercial real estate. As many businesses struggle to stay afloat, they have not been able to pay rent and commercial real estate companies are feeling the effects. Also, since many companies are having their employees work remotely, they are finding out they don’t need all the space they have and once their lease is up, they are either looking for smaller space or going fully remote.

Physical distancing is also changing the physical layout needed in office areas, meaning that potential tenants are going to demand less open spacing (can this mean we can finally put a nail in the open workspace concept?), updated HVAC systems, and improved amenities.

There is an increased demand for warehouse and storage space, as e-commerce has surged. Biotech companies are also seeing increased demand for lab space.

I think it would be smart to look at a commercial real estate firm’s portfolio and see what types of companies are in their portfolio. Consider using the HBG Whitepaper on who is doing well to help you determine if the RE firm has any of those clients or companies in industries that are doing well. At the same time, if the portfolio is full of restaurants or retail it could mean lean times for the commercial real estate firm.

Also, be on the lookout for commercial real estate firms to take advantage of opportunities to acquire properties at a good price and build their portfolio. Here is a good place to keep an eye on commercial real estate transactions and news.

Working Remotely

Due to the pandemic, many people were forced to work remotely. According to Business Insider, following the pandemic more than half of Americans want to continue working remotely while two-thirds of companies may render their current work-from-home policies permanent. A few major companies have announced they will continue to have employees work remotely, including Google, American Express, Uber, and Airbnb. REI plans to have its employees work remotely indefinitely and recently sold its brand new headquarters in Bellevue, WA to Facebook for $368M.

The National Association of Realtors created a Work From Home Score that studied “3,142 counties that are best poised to provide a supportive environment for working remotely, mainly, working from home.” They used nine factors to calculate the score. The top 30 work from home counties represent the top 1%. The top five counties include:

  • Forsyth County, Georgia

Part of the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta metropolitan area, 11.3% of the workforce already works from home and 99% of the population is served by three or more broadband internet service providers (ISPs). It’s a fast-growing area, and the population rose nearly 21% over the last five years.

  • Douglas County, Colorado

Part of the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood metropolitan area, 11.7% percent already work from home and 98% of the population is served by three or more broadband providers.

  • Los Alamos County, New Mexico

Part of the Los Alamos micropolitan area and the Albuquerque-Santa Fe-Las Vegas combined statistical area, less than 3% work from home but what stands out is that 68% of the workforce work in office-using industries. Homes are very affordable and only 11% of homeowners pay  30% or more of their income on their mortgage.

  • Collin County, Texas

Part of the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metropolitan area, 8.6% of the workforce work from home, and its population expanded 17% from 2014 to 2019, indicating it is a fast-growing county.

  • Loudoun County, Virginia

Part of the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metropolitan area, 7.5% of residents work from home, with 44% working in office-using industries. 100% of the population is served by three or more ISPs.

These areas could also be a good place to keep an eye on if you have prospects living there as they could see an increase in their property value. It is also going to change the type of home people want to purchase, which may now include two office spaces and an area that can act as a home school.

What trends are you seeing in your area?

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Questioning philanthropy

With so many nonprofit organizations needing funding fairly desperately right now, this might not seem like a particularly great time to critique philanthropy and philanthropists. That hasn’t stopped people like Anand Giridharadas, David Callahan, Rob Reich, Ben Soskis, Alan Cantor, the folks at Mother Jones, an anonymous op-ed writer in The American Conservative, and many, many others.

And the critics have a long list of grievance: Foundations have too much power. Foundations don’t give away enough. Billionaires are stingy. Billionaires are stepping up, but not enough. Wealth inequality is distorting philanthropy. It’s imperiling democracy. DAFs are the best thing since sliced bread. DAFs are evil.

It feels like there’s a crescendo of criticism lately. And they’ve got a point – there is so much more need, the inequity gap is an increasingly yawning crevasse, and trillions are locked away in philanthropic vaults, ticking up interest and income for investment offices and institutional sponsors. And there are billionaires who could change the course of poverty/hunger/you-name-it with one check (and some, like MacKenzie Scott, who seem to be actually trying).

As they have for over a generation, medium and large nonprofits are focused laser-like on that top tier of prospects and those prospects’ assets are growing by the second, even during this pandemic. Some because of the pandemic. Sometimes I think that small triangle at the top of the pyramid is going to separate and blast off like the SpaceX Dragon.

A small voice in me wonders if prospect development has played some role in this problem of declining donor numbers. Because of our part in the fixation on that nose-cone.

And, to be fair, it has made practical sense, right? When bank robber Willy Sutton was asked why he robbed banks, he said “because that’s where the money is.” Well, yeah.

Have we been myopic?

So yes, we’ve focused on the richest of the rich because they’re the ones with the most money to give away. But is that one (of the potentially many) reasons why our nonprofits have shrinking donor pools? Because we haven’t spent the time to identify and involve the next generation of donors because the low-hanging fruit was just so much easier?

What about the next tier who may not be able to make 7-figure gifts now (or ever), but could make multiple 5 or 6 figure gifts over a lifetime? Have we in PD not done our duty to insist to leadership that those prospects are worth the work so we can ensure that fundraisers working at our organization in 10 years’ time have great portfolios to work with?

Is the scarcity mindset that deeply entrenched in our sector’s collective psyche that nonprofit leadership doesn’t feel it can take the long view to ensure that their nonprofit will be here in 50 or 100 years and needs to go for the quick wins now?

Or, to play devil’s advocate, in this increasingly unequal world is it more expedient (and ethical) for us to have stayed focused on the top of the pyramid to the…maybe not exclusion, exactly, but certainly decreased emphasis on that important second tier? I wish I was sure. That small voice gets louder these days telling me “no”.

Fortunately it’s not an either/or choice. Those critics are airing out the Third Sector’s dirty laundry and it doesn’t smell too rosy. So what we have here is an opportunity for all of us, particularly in prospect development.

So what can we in prospect development do?

We have to start involving people below the Forbes 400 level – now – for all kinds of reasons.

First of all, although their bank accounts are growing at astonishing levels and their numbers are creeping up slowly, ultra-high net worth individuals (UHNWI) are still a tiny subset of the general population. Also they tend to give their support exclusively to large, well-established institutions (the equivalent of the Forbes 400 of the nonprofit world).

Second, I don’t know of too many nonprofits whose constituencies are exclusively over 60, male, and white. All-white boards may have worked in the 1970s, but we all know that style of board should have died out long ago. The fact that the status quo has lasted this long is frankly lazy and embarrassing. Female and BIPOC representation amongst trustees, volunteers, donors, and fundraisers, has to increase and fast in order for nonprofits to stay relevant (and afloat).

And third, donors have an increasing number of giving choices that completely bypass nonprofits and go straight to the recipient. Let me repeat that – donors are bypassing nonprofits entirely (read the embedded-linked article in that last line). Or they give money to nonprofits through vehicles like Facebook, which cuts out the nonprofit/donor relationship. Right now, when people can’t get out to volunteer or to attend events, these options are a way for mid-level donors to make a direct impact. This makes prospect identification, philanthropic-interest research, and engagement all the more difficult for an increasingly important demographic.

And although they may not be 100% correct, the critics care enough about the success of our sector to venture an opinion and point out where we need to fix things.

As a prospect development professional, I can’t fix DAFs, or foundation payouts, or wealth inequality, or the tax code. But there are many things we definitely can do to make our sector – and our own nonprofits – better. And that starts with making the pie bigger.

Elbow-grease prospecting and segmentation are even more critical right now. There are opportunities in every single fundraising database to be found through analytics and wealth screening, peer networks and philanthropy. There are common-sense ways to find new or previously overlooked donors in the communities where we operate and that we serve.

As an industry, we need to figure out how to present newly-identified prospects in such a way that fundraisers will rush to set up a Zoom call. And managers need to find new ways to motivate fundraisers to do that. Great prospects sitting in a portfolio growing cold are the very worst kind of waste. Internally we need to discover ways to communicate excitement and opportunity.

Something that’s been exciting for me is a project we’re working on right now within our Data Insight team: identifying the ways that the research tools we use don’t identify (or appropriately weight) female and BIPOC prospects and building up our own custom appends and methods to counter those deficiencies for our clients.

I’d love to hear your thoughts about any or all of this.

 

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Who is doing well now in the UK?

Back in April, I wrote a blog post about companies, individuals, and sectors in the United States that were doing well despite (or in some cases, because of) the coronavirus pandemic. Today I want to offer some research that I’ve done on the same topic, but focused across the Atlantic. For everyone who has prospects in the United Kingdom, this one’s for you.

Just as everywhere, the economy in the United Kingdom right now is on a slanting slide into sure recession. However, that doesn’t mean that every company or sector is in the red along with it. As I go through the individual companies and sectors that are doing well right now, think not only of those who are executives or major shareholders that are in these companies, but the companies themselves and others in that sector that may be prospects. Also consider if they have a corporate foundation with funding priorities that your nonprofit might fit.

Basic goods

Just like here in the States, the major supermarket chains are experiencing solid sales right now: Tesco’s sales are up 12.7% and Sainsbury’s and Waitrose are both up 12.5%. Discount grocery chain Co-op is up 30.8% and sales for mainly-frozen-foods grocer Iceland are up 29%.

In order to get those groceries, many people are relying on the UK’s main delivery service, Ocado, which is reporting sales that are up nearly 33%.

Companies and manufacturers

According to Make UK, the professional organization for the UK’s manufacturing sector, 90% of UK manufacturers have continued to operate fully or partially since March, although around 20% have furloughed or laid off staff.

Which manufacturers specifically are doing well?

Any company manufacturing Perspex (plexi-glass), for example. Every person operating a cash register or sitting at a customer service window has (or will have) a sheet of plastic between themselves and the customer, so those manufacturers are operating on all cylinders.

The same goes for anything medical related, including PPE manufacturers/suppliers (face masks, gowns, visors, aprons, thermometers), medical equipment parts and materials (beyond just respirators to the base materials like plastics and sheet metals), and companies that make household and institutional cleaning supplies, including Reckitt Benckiser, the maker of Dettol, and hand sanitizer manufacturers.

And of course early on in the lockdown just as in the United States, UK television streaming services, games, and other forms of entertainment did (and continue to do) really well, too.

Who does well all the time?

Grocery stores usually operate on fairly thin margins, but people always need groceries so they tend to be fine no matter the economic circumstance. Banks, energy companies (those delivering heating oil and gas, for example), internet and phone companies, and the infrastructures that support them do well, too.

Right now, in addition to ecommerce (like UK-based companies selling must-have items like Argos, B&Q, Curry’s, Screwfix, office suppliers, etc.), shipping (and supporting industries) are also doing well because all of those ordered items have to be delivered.

Which companies and industries are having a moment?

And speaking of delivery, a new-ish form of vehicle is increasingly important, with drones supplying medicines and PPEs in half the time over the Solent to the Isle of Wight and from mainland Scotland to the islands. Look for companies like drone operator Skyports and defense and technology companies like Thales that manufacture these useful technologies.

It’s not just corporations and UHNWIs doing well: Local bike shops can’t keep stock on the shelves – especially bikes under £500, and they can’t keep up with repairs, either. Electric bike sales are up 96%! Britain has re-discovered biking in a big way, and it’s healthy for the bikers and for the bike sellers, from local shops to chains like Halfords.

The UK is a gardener’s paradise, of course, and garden centers which have now reopened are experiencing the same sort of panic-buying (and associated boom in sales) as we Americans had with toilet paper in late March. There’s an 8-week wait for certain plants as sales at some centers have exploded 75%.

Who will be doing well moving forward?

Because of COVID-19, demand is also beginning to rise for contact-free items like touchless faucets, flushers, and dispensers, so watch those manufacturing spaces as well.

Property investors with deep reserves like Great Portland Estates, one of the largest property owners in London’s West End, bought up bargains during and after the Great Recession. They purchased nearly 60% of their current portfolio between 2009 and 2014, and according to an article in the Financial Times (paywall) they plan to do it again.

As in the United States, look for managers and investors in contrarian hedge funds. Some that shorted the market back in January and February have made hundreds of millions of dollars.

Any company with a contract to supply to the government should do well in the next year (or more) as well. Once awarded a contract, a company can expect steady payments from a reliable source. Look for connected companies like Liberty Global, (no relation to Liberty of London) which signed a deal with the UK government to provide on-street charging points for electric vehicles.

Finally, although it would be easy to think that private equity and venture funding would be completely dried up, it’s not always the case. I spent a little time spent in Crunchbase and found that startups and young companies in the UK received $3.9 billion in the period between March 1 and June 1 of this year. A quarter of those companies are outside of London, too, so it’s not all invested in the south. Both the funders and the companies funded are worth a look to see if there are prospects for your nonprofit.

What other companies and sectors do you know of that are doing well in the UK right now? Please share in the comments for all of us to benefit from!

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Still Interested? Expanding the Use of Donor Interest Codes

Following the close of UC Berkeley’s last capital campaign in 2013, the campus recognized that the fundraising community needed a better way to understand the interests of current and potential donors if they were going to meet the goals of their next campaign.

The University Development and Alumni Relations team was also given a new priority to identify prospects interested in multidisciplinary institutes, such as the Berkeley Food Institute and the Berkeley Institute for Data Science.

So in 2014, Mallory Lass and Abbey Myszka of UC Berkeley’s Prospect Development team led a working group (which included multiple advancement operations partners) to examine and overhaul their interest coding. They had no idea it would be a project they would still be shepherding nearly five years later!

After hearing their presentation at the Apra conference, I was so interested in their project that I asked Mallory and Abbey to tell us more about it in a blog post so you could hear about it, too. I’m delighted that they said yes! ~Helen

You may have attended our 2016 APRA presentation Got Interest? Improving the Utilization of Donor Interest Codes and are thinking to yourself, “But I thought they finished that project…?!” You would be correct – and it’s also a project that found new legs.

When we first undertook a complete overhaul of our interest coding, the project entailed creating a new data table that was hierarchical in structure (this allows us to capture parent/child/grandchild level data which we can use broadly or narrowly), reviewing data integrity on the nearly 30K existing codes, and creating new processes and a new culture around the way we thought about and documented interest codes.

The focus of this project was our constituents’ outside philanthropic interests, but after talking to other EllucianAdvance users and other institutions such as University of Chicago that were also undertaking their own interest code projects, we realized the value of exploring internal philanthropic interests as well. This would lead us to code interests down to program level specificity. A whole new phase was born!

Since then we have taken ownership of prospect related interests and see this as an ongoing data stewardship and data acquisition project that may never see its “end.” That is both daunting and exhilarating.

The bulk of our efforts over the last five years have been focused on building and maintaining two distinct interest code areas: one to reflect outside philanthropic interests and one for internal interests. Sometimes those overlap, too.

For example, a donor to the San Francisco Museum of Modern Art would get an outside philanthropic interest code for Art and Museums, but, depending on other circumstances, might also be coded for an internal interest in the Berkeley Art Museum.

In conjunction with our development and database management teams, we steward the creation of new codes (interesting new additions include cryptocurrency, cannabis, and astrophysics) which makes our data reactive to changing needs, to new research and, in a lot of cases, anticipatory.

For example, we created a code for an interest in cannabis in January of 2017 and in January of 2019, UCB announced a New Cannabis Research Center to explore environmental and social impacts of legalization.

This forward-looking focus helps us to pose questions, think about, and define the structure we have been working to implement over the last year. One question we worked on was “How do we best incorporate outside data sources into our prospect-interests ecosystem?” We discovered that this involves determining the integrity of the outside data source, assessing the value-add to our internal database, and deciding whether the data should be mapped to outside or internal philanthropic interests.

External data: The Federal Election Commission

We started with Federal Election Commission (FEC) data because it was easy for our analytics team to capture and studies show that people who contribute to political campaigns are more likely to also contribute to charitable causes.

FEC data includes individual giving to political action committees, and the subject matter of those PACs is what was mapped to our interest code area. Based on political giving data identified and matched by the Prospect Development analytics team, we have been able to add over 166K interest codes on 72,920 entity records.

Internal data: past giving 

Our crowdfunding team is another great source of data we can use to map a data set to our internal philanthropic interests. For example, donors who gave to a Cal Band initiative to purchase new lockers would be coded for an interest in Cal Band. We are also assessing how we can leverage eGiving and donor survey comments.

What the future holds

After attending a CARA presentation where James Sinclair from the University of Southern California explained mapping foundation funding priorities directly to campus programmatic needs, we have begun thinking about the feasibility of using foundation data for interest codes as well. The potential to leverage outside data sources for this project is almost limitless – this project might never end!

If you would like to talk to Abbey and Mallory in more detail about this project feel free to contact them by email at amyszka {at} Berkeley dot edu  or  mlass {at} Berkeley dot edu. If you’re working on your own interest-coding project, tell us about it!

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Pivot Tables – step by step

At the most recent NEDRA conference, Meghan Hakanson and Amy Begg of Harvard University delivered a session to a packed room on how they created pivot tables to sort through mountains of data to identify reunion prospects. What had session participants clamoring for more was the nitty-gritty details of how Meghan and Amy actually did it. So I asked them to share their project with us – step by step – so that we can all try it, too!
Huge thanks to both of them for their generous willingness to share, and to Meghan especially for writing this article.

Have you ever found yourself sorting through mountains of prospects and thought, “There must be a better way to do this!” and at the same time, “but I don’t have a lot of time!”? We found ourselves saying and thinking the same things to each other as we embarked on a new project for our Reunion and Annual Campaigns team here at Harvard. [Read more…]

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The Best Parts of the 2016 Sunday Times Rich List

The Sunday Times Rich List 2016

You know that the Sunday Times Rich List came out this past weekend, right?

The list is a tremendous feat completed annually by Philip Beresford and Robert Watts (who will take over for Beresford later this year). For me it’s like someone showed up at my door handing me keys to a snappy convertible, a box of Lake Champlain chocolates, and a leash with a wee sleepy puppy at the end of it. Henley Foxy

Yes, I’m self-aware about my tendency toward hyperbole, but seriously, I’m pretty sure I heard angels weeping on Sunday.

Wonderfully, the ST list of the top 1,000 wealthiest isn’t just one list, it’s actually 28 glorious lists. There’s some overlap, of course, but Beresford and Watts don’t just rehash and reorder the 1,000 – there are many more names to be found in the separate, searchable, lists. [Read more…]

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What makes for a successful wealth screening?

achievementDespite the title of this popular article, we love wealth screenings here at HBG. What we don’t love is when all that time, work, and money spent on a wealth screening go to waste. My colleagues Maureen, Tara, Heather W. and I were talking about this one day, and we were brainstorming so many great ideas that I asked them if we could capture them in a podcast for you. [Read more…]

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